FX (Foreign Exchange)¶
Difficulty intermediate
Overview¶
The FX market is the largest financial market globally, with daily turnover exceeding $7.5 trillion. It operates 24 hours a day, 5 days a week.
Currency Pairs¶
Major Pairs¶
| Pair | Nickname | Characteristics |
|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | Fiber | Most liquid, tightest spread |
| USD/JPY | Ninja | Safe-haven yen, Asian session |
| GBP/USD | Cable | Volatile, London session |
| USD/CHF | Swissie | Safe-haven franc |
| AUD/USD | Aussie | Commodity-linked |
| USD/CAD | Loonie | Oil-linked |
| NZD/USD | Kiwi | Commodity-linked |
Cross Pairs¶
Pairs without USD: EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/NZD
Exotic Pairs¶
Emerging market currencies: USD/TRY, USD/ZAR, USD/MXN
fx market structure¶
Trading Sessions (overlapping):
Sydney: 5:00 PM - 2:00 AM ET
Tokyo: 7:00 PM - 4:00 AM ET
London: 3:00 AM - 12:00 PM ET ← Most liquid
New York: 8:00 AM - 5:00 PM ET
Peak liquidity: London/NY overlap (8 AM - 12 PM ET)
Driving Factors¶
| Factor | Impact |
|---|---|
| Interest rates | Higher rates → stronger currency |
| Central bank policy | Hawkish → stronger, dovish → weaker |
| Economic data | Strong data → stronger currency |
| Risk sentiment | Risk-on → commodity currencies up |
| Geopolitics | Uncertainty → safe-haven currencies up |
| Trade flows | Export-driven currencies follow trade |
fx trading strategies¶
Carry Trade¶
Borrow low-yielding currency (JPY, CHF)
Invest in high-yielding currency (AUD, NZD, MXN)
Profit = Interest differential - FX move
where:
Interest differentialrate earned on the high-yield leg minus rate paid on the funding leg ·FX moveadverse spot move in the high-yield currency over the holding period. does: captures the structural rate spread between currencies. Profitable in calm regimes; vulnerable to sharp FX reversals (risk-off "unwinds") that erase years of carry in days — the classic "picking up pennies in front of a steamroller" trade.
Trend Following¶
Mean Reversion¶
Range-bound pairs: EUR/CHF (historically)
Buy support, sell resistance
Works best in low-volatility regimes
News Trading¶
Pip and Lot Sizes¶
Pip: 0.0001 for most pairs (0.01 for JPY pairs)
Standard lot: 100,000 units
Mini lot: 10,000 units
Micro lot: 1,000 units
Pip value (EUR/USD standard lot): $10 per pip
Practical Guidelines¶
- Leverage Is Dangerous — FX allows high leverage; use wisely
- Session Matters — Trade during peak liquidity
- Spread Costs — Exotics have wide spreads
- Central Banks — They are the most important players
- Correlations — EUR/USD ≈ -USD/CHF, AUD/USD ≈ NZD/USD
- Rollover — Overnight interest rate differential applies
- News Risk — FX can gap significantly on news
Next Steps¶
- Commodities — Physical asset markets
- Fixed Income — Interest rate markets
- Cross-Asset Strategies — Multi-asset FX strategies