Chart Patterns¶
Difficulty beginner
Overview¶
Chart patterns are recognizable formations in price data that suggest future price direction. They emerge from collective market psychology and self-fulfilling behavior.
Reversal Patterns¶
Head and Shoulders¶
Structure: - Left shoulder: Price rises, then falls - Head: Price rises higher, then falls - Right shoulder: Price rises (lower than head), then falls - Neckline: Support line connecting the lows
price
│ ● head
│ ╱ ╲
│ ╱ ╲
│ ╱ ╲
│ ● left ╱ ╲ ● right shoulder
│ ╱ ╲ ╱ ╲ ╱ ╲
│ ╱ ●╱ ● ╲
│ ╱ ╲
│ ┄┄┄┄●┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄●┄┄┄ neckline
│ ╲
│ ╲ ↓ break
│ ╲
│ target ● ╲
└──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────→ time
entry: short on neckline break
stop : above right shoulder
target: head-to-neckline distance, projected down
Entry: Short when price breaks below neckline Stop Loss: Above right shoulder Target: Distance from head to neckline, projected downward
Inverse Head and Shoulders¶
Bullish version of H&S (upside down).
Double Top¶
Structure: Price tests a resistance level twice and fails both times.
price │ ┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄●┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄●┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄ resistance (tops) │ ╱ ╲ ╱ ╲ │ ╱ ╲ ╱ ╲ │ ╱ ╲ ╱ ╲ │ ╱ ● ╲ ↓ break of neckline │ ╲ │ ┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄┄●┄┄┄ neckline (support) │ ╲ │ target ● ╲ └──────────────────────────────────────────────────────→ time
Entry: Short on neckline break Stop: Above tops Target: Distance from top to neckline, projected down
Double Bottom¶
Bearish version of double top (upside down). Bullish reversal.
Triple Top/Bottom¶
Three tests of resistance/support. Stronger signal than double top/bottom.
Continuation Patterns¶
Triangles¶
Symmetrical Triangle¶
/\
/ \ Converging trendlines
/ \ Neither bulls nor bears dominate
/ \
/ \
Breakout direction determines bias
Entry: On breakout with volume confirmation Stop: Opposite side of triangle Target: Height of triangle at widest point
Ascending Triangle¶
Bullish bias. Entry on resistance break.Descending Triangle¶
Bearish bias. Entry on support break.Flags and Pennants¶
Bull Flag¶
Entry: On breakout above flag Stop: Below flag low Target: Length of pole added to breakout point
Bear Flag¶
Inverse of bull flag. Bearish continuation.
Pennant¶
Small symmetrical triangle after sharp move. Similar to flags but converging.
Cup and Handle¶
Entry: Break above handle resistance Stop: Below handle low Target: Depth of cup added to breakout
Entry, Exit, and Risk for All Patterns¶
Universal Framework¶
| Pattern | Entry | Stop Loss | Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| H&S (bearish) | Neckline break | Above right shoulder | Head-neckline distance |
| Double Top | Support break | Above tops | Top-support distance |
| Triangle | Breakout | Opposite side | Triangle height |
| Flag | Breakout | Flag extreme | Pole length |
| Cup & Handle | Handle break | Handle low | Cup depth |
Volume Confirmation¶
- Breakout should occur on above-average volume (1.5x+ normal)
- Volume should decline during pattern formation
- Low volume breakouts are suspect (higher failure rate)
Pattern Reliability¶
| Pattern | Reliability | Best Timeframe |
|---|---|---|
| H&S | High | Daily, Weekly |
| Double Top/Bottom | High | Daily, Weekly |
| Triangles | Medium | All timeframes |
| Flags/Pennants | High | Intraday, Daily |
| Cup & Handle | Medium | Daily, Weekly |
| Wedges | Medium | All timeframes |
Failure Modes¶
| Failure Type | Signs | Action |
|---|---|---|
| False breakout | Low volume, quick reversal | Exit immediately |
| Pattern doesn't complete | Price drifts away | No trade |
| Target not reached | Weak follow-through | Trail stop, exit early |
| Pattern takes too long | Stales out | Cancel trade idea |
Practical Guidelines¶
- Wait for Confirmation — Don't anticipate; wait for the breakout
- Volume Matters — No volume = no conviction
- Context is Key — Patterns in trend direction are more reliable
- Measure Targets — Use pattern dimensions for objective targets
- Manage Risk — Always define stop loss before entry
- Multiple Timeframes — Check higher timeframe for context
Next Steps¶
- Candlestick Patterns — Japanese candlestick formations
- Support and Resistance — Key price levels
- Trend Analysis — Identifying and trading trends